The first round of the NHL playoffs have a few interesting match-ups this year, including one in which I dislike both teams playing. There are also many regional rivalries, yet just two Canadian teams.
Here's how I think they'll go.
Western Conference:
Nashville Predators (1) vs
Colorado Avalanche (WC2):
The best team in the league, one with no glaring weakness, plays a bunch of kids, no defense and a backup goalie. Simply put, the Avs don't stand a chance. They might win one on the strength of MVP candidate
Nathan MacKinnon, but a defense made up of
Roman Josi,
Mathias Ekholm,
P.K. Subban,
Ryan Ellis,
Alexei Emelin,
Matt Irwin and
Yannick Weber won't let him dominate like he did in the regular season twice in two weeks. And
Jonathan Bernier loses the goalie duel to likely Vezina winner
Pekka Rinne before the puck even drops.
Nashville in 5.
Winnipeg Jets (2) vs
Minnesota Wild (3):
The Jets are no joke. They have one of the most potent offenses in the league, one of the best defenses, and goalie
Connor Hellebuyck is two years ahead of my predictions as a star starter. The team itself may not have won a single playoff game in its current iteration (and that includes a decade as the
Atlanta Thrashers, by the way), but they have guys who've had the experience of grinding out a Stanley Cup Final in captain
Blake Wheeler and the league's most feared defender
Dustin Byfuglien. The Wild have... a fine defense, and the league's most consistent goalie of the past four seasons in
Devan Dubnyk. Head coach
Bruce Boudreau often looks outmatched in the postseason. Dubnyk might steal one, but he can't steal two from these guys, let alone four.
Jets in 5.
Vegas Golden Knights (1) vs
Los Angeles Kings (WC1):
Well, well, well. First off, it looks like the players may indeed have been sick of
Darryl Sutter's message, as they bounced back from consecutive postseason misses to face their newest rivals - and the league's biggest surprise. Goalie
Jonathan Quick is back to his old self, as is star defenseman
Drew Doughty, former captain
Dustin Brown is scoring again and
Anze Kopitar has posted his best year so far, which will likely earn him a couple of MVP votes. However, the Golden Knights are the better team, way more balanced, better coached, and their net is just as safe with
Marc-André Fleury standing between the posts. I could see the Kings playing extremely physically and slowing down the G-Knights, winning a couple of games along the way. This series could cost the Knights a Conference Final, as I see them coming out too battered and bruised to continue much further.
Vegas in 6.
Anaheim Ducks (2) vs
San Jose Sharks (3):
If you've read any of these posts from me in the past, you know I trust the Sharks do to one thing right: choke in the postseason. I don't care that they added ball of anger
Evander Kane at the trade deadline, he's just one more loser to add to a full stable, effectively taking up
Patrick Marleau's spot as the second-line goal scorer who can't carry his team when it needs it. The Ducks have an aggressive and relatively talented defense that will crush San Jose's forwards at every opportunity, and the best goaltending tandem in the postseason in
John Gibson and
Ryan Miller (although the latter's far removed from his 2009-10 peak form). They also have three lines of 230-pound guys who can score as well as they can decapitate, unless
Corey Perry and
Ryan Kesler lose their cool, which usually only happens when they lose... which should be starting Game 2 of the second round.
Ducks in 7.
Eastern Conference:
Tampa Bay Lightning (1) vs
New Jersey Devils (WC2):
Let's make something clear: the Bolts are the second-best team in the league, and the Devils don't belong in the Final 16 - especially not if they're going to start their backup
Keith Kincaid over underachieving starter
Corey Schneider.
Taylor Hall will win the Hart Trophy and might get his team one W, but when the next scorer was 41 points behind him on his team and he's facing a defense comprised of Norris candidate
Victor Hedman, former
New York Rangers captain
Ryan McDonagh and future Norris hoarder
Mikhail Sergachev and a bunch of guys who are just as good as he is on offense (
Nikita Kucherov,
Steven Stamkos,
Ondrej Palat,
Alex Killorn,
Yanni Gourde), it's going to spell B-E-A-T-D-O-W-N.
Bolts in 5.
Boston Bruins (2) vs
Toronto Maple Leafs (3):
If there was a way to have neither team advance, I would definitely root for that. Yes, the Leafs have talent up front in
Mitch Marner,
Auston Matthews and the rest of the kids, and
Frederik Andersen is a fine netminder, but the Bs - against all odds - have still "got it". That means
Patrice Bergeron remains among the best and most effective centermen in the world and
Brad Marchand is still a pest who is as likely of scoring a hat trick as he is to get suspended for three games for a boneheaded move. But Boston now also has
David Pastrnak, an offensive talent they have lacked since the 1988-90 heyday of
Cam Neely. The Bruins' defense is still very suspect, but the
Pittsburgh Penguins have just won two straight Cups with not just a "no-name" defense, but the worst d-corps of the postseason. And, like the Pens of the past couple of years, the Bs are solid in net with
Tuukka Rask.
Bruins in 7.
Washington Capitals (1) vs
Columbus Blue Jackets (WC1):
This is an unfair match-up, as neither of these teams deserve to be out in the first round; the Jackets are NOT a Wild Card team by any stretch of the imagination. They have a top-tier coach in
John Tortorella, the stingiest goalie in the league in
Sergei Bobrovsky (in the regular season, at least), the best young defense in the game headlined by
Zach Werenski,
Seth Jones and
Ryan Murray, and a balanced attack that features a superstar with a chip on his shoulder,
Artemi Panarin, as well as 35-goal sniper
Cam Atkinson. And yet, the Caps managed to win their division with a team that, on paper, was depleted compared to that of years past;
Alex Ovechkin,
Evgeny Kuznetsov and
Nicklas Backstrom are elite forwards, but the defense has lost too many important players to be considered solid, and the team enters the playoffs with their backup,
Philipp Grubauer, playing better than their starter,
Braden Holtby. The goalie controversy is likely what will once again sink the Caps. I would really like for Ovechkin to get that elusive Cup to shut his critics up, but it won't be this year.
Jackets in 6.
Pittsburgh Penguins (2) vs
Philadelphia Flyers (3):
Normally, I would call this "Flyers in 7". I would talk about Pittsburgh's shitty defense, their fragile players (chief among them
Kris Letang and
Sidney Crosby), I would say that the Flyers have a knack for getting under Crosby's skin, and I'd poke fun at them and predict they'll fail, especially against world-class players like
Claude Giroux and
Jakub Voracek. Except that with two back-to-back Cups - both of which came from a wide range of memorable runs from the likes of Fleury,
Matt Murray,
Phil Kessel,
Evgeni Malkin and the young guns, despite Crosby's two unwarranted Conn Smythe wins - this team has shown it can and will find ways to win. And against this particular Flyers team, the Pens are much better coached (
Mike Sullivan trumps
Dave Hakstoll any day of the week), and a team cannot hope to contain Pittsburgh with
Brian Elliott in net - not four times in a possible seven-game span, anyway. And those are words I would say even if Malkin hadn't been having an MVP-level season, which he is.
Pens in 6.
